Browsing by Author "Ayansola Ayanniyi Mufutau"

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    Prediction and Simulation of Kainji Hydropower Reservoir Operation in Nigeria
    (2022-04) Mohammed Abdulrazaq Apalndo; Sule Bolaji Fatai; Salami Adebayo Wahab; Adeogun Adeniyi Ganiyu; Ayansola Ayanniyi Mufutau; Oladeji Akinola Sunday
    Kainji hydropower reservoir streamflow was forecast from 2017 to 2050 using measures historical streamflow data and Markov model. The model was evaluated with statistical parameters. Various percentage of water stored in the reservoir as Ecological Flow Release (EFR) were used to simulate future generation taking hydropower equation and operational constraints into consideration. It was observed that the model forecast the sreamflow adequately with coefficient of determination (R2 ), Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Relative Bias (RB) and correlation coefficient (r) of: 0.98, 0.10, 0.002 and 0.99 respectively. Total simulated energy generation reduces as EFR percentage increases. The energy generation simulated is greater than the observed generated energy for the scenarios. The outcomes of this study can be applied to the Kainji hydropower operational management.