The Relationship between Socio demographic Factors and Terminated Pregnancy among Nigerian Women
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Date
2019
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Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences
Abstract
Background: Pregnancy termination is an illegal medical procedure in Nigeria except in a situation of having the child puts the mother’s life at risk. Hence, the act is a rare event in the country and associated with some sociodemographic factors.
Objective: The aims of the study were to appropriately model pregnancy termination so as to evaluate sociodemographic factors contributing to having terminated pregnancy among Nigerian women.
Methods: The data were extracted from the 2013 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (NDHS) which exhibited class imbalanced, hence, logistic regression in large rare events and imbalanced data using different resampling techniques were exploited to improve the model’s performance. Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technique (SMOTE) function was used to improve the model’s performance. The analysis was done using R software.
Results: The results showed that the model’s sensitivity and Precision values improved from zero to 50% and 32.43% respectively; this aspect is missing in the previous literatures to the best of my knowledge. Keeping other factors constant, a unit increase in age the odds of having pregnancy termination increases by 3.6%; women living in urban area were 50% more likely to experience pregnancy termination than women living in rural area; women from North East (NE), North West (NW), South East (SE), South South (SS) and South West (SW) were 83.5%, 22.5%, 43.2%, 25.3% and 25.9% , respectively, more likely to experience pregnancy termination than women from North Central (NC); women with primary, secondary and higher education levels were 39.2%, 50.1% and 44%, respectively, more likely to experience pregnancy termination compared to women with no education.
Conclusion: The findings of this study shows that in using predictive model, there is need to evaluate the model’s accuracy, sensitivity and precision in order to ascertain the reliability of the model’s results. Moreover, family planning projects in Nigeria should stress on advancing the use of modern preventative techniques to further reduce the cases of pregnancy termination. Above all, there is need to improve maternal healthcare services in order to help women during the difficulties of unintended pregnancy
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Aderoju, S.A. (2019). The Relationship between Sociodemographic Factors and Terminated Pregnancy among Nigerian Women. Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences; 13(12):26-30.